Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 123.209722 140.361207 159.352456 181.993945 208.321792 238.052884 274.285479
2025-12-14 97.426857 119.353921 145.700176 179.891361 223.383816 277.249434 349.616142
2025-12-21 84.051067 108.407025 139.430440 182.250866 240.454308 317.719566 429.577658
2025-12-28 76.595077 103.041175 138.385577 189.744440 263.578096 367.597903 528.314275
2026-01-04 69.797049 97.281964 135.538244 193.626434 281.278819 411.358991 624.279801
2026-01-11 62.838271 90.262116 129.782283 192.108506 290.207896 442.608403 705.223911
2026-01-18 58.657500 86.671542 128.384409 196.580790 308.346088 489.833597 818.703009
2026-01-25 53.978212 81.758590 124.331948 196.194927 318.303924 524.666240 916.166321
2026-02-01 50.484485 78.275526 122.042402 198.205554 332.193887 567.562724 1034.596551
2026-02-08 46.298347 73.259882 116.743011 194.465167 335.460791 591.827638 1121.500835
2026-02-15 43.610873 70.421188 114.702136 196.011443 348.175558 634.756569 1252.008328
2026-02-22 41.324087 68.028294 113.147271 198.165465 362.124445 681.672990 1398.633770
2026-03-01 37.402902 62.768662 106.610714 191.399280 359.965247 700.159486 1496.212295
2026-03-08 34.540965 59.135378 102.662296 189.167867 366.756396 738.706206 1649.242973
2026-03-15 32.657706 57.054074 101.281613 191.664557 383.446526 800.889715 1872.305012
2026-03-22 31.652298 56.464183 102.579081 199.596354 412.717632 895.892731 2200.377344
2026-03-29 30.264760 55.015743 102.066302 203.706265 434.197448 976.811739 2512.736517
2026-04-05 28.370703 52.419908 99.039245 202.099146 442.425968 1027.355836 2754.498254
2026-04-12 27.309758 51.351134 98.948131 206.834474 466.190676 1120.953885 3147.030825
2026-04-19 25.831684 49.318763 96.682772 206.425885 477.436681 1184.262459 3465.501541
2026-04-26 24.710862 47.913709 95.588014 208.554994 495.334433 1268.878233 3877.561726
2026-05-03 23.153555 45.478635 92.074981 204.594320 496.996710 1308.665408 4151.375069
2026-05-10 22.183505 44.198131 90.949116 206.231596 513.722573 1395.177013 4617.148166